Poofah wrote:Gendou wrote:Keep in mind that even though they've increased the chances to get a rare, the chances of getting a particular rare are still lower than they would have been with their release set. So while we may see a lot more loot cards hitting the market, they will be split between all of the previous sets. I would expect prices to drop on release, and then stabilize at just a little under the price they are now.
Good point! Just some quick and dirty calculations for Spectral Tiger Cub:
originally 1 in 264 packs
loot rates are doubled (1/132) in the current release, but
now it's competing with 20 prior expansions (1/(132*20) = 1 in 2640)
Also, this is assuming that the loot cards are split *evenly* among the prior expansions: it's possible that particular expansions or loot cards are underrepresented.
The original chances for a few others:
Ethereal Soul-Trader: 1 in 264
Dragon Kite: 1 in 363
Rocket Chicken: 1 in 181
Tuskarr Kite: 1 in 132
Warlock wrote:This is assuming you don't want the other loot cards tho I still need all of the non-common loot pets (except for the Hippogryph) so I'd be happy if I got any of those you listed (plus Spectral Tiger Cub! )
Gromagrim wrote:Then I thought about it, and to be fair, these items are still being sold on the AH, so are still 'available'. I don't have the ethereal, tiger cub, rocket chicken or either kite, so I stand to gain from this change, I do wonder what effect it will have on pet prices.
Poofah wrote: And, there's another possible wrinkle: probably there are people sitting on Cubs/Traders who will panic as news of the TCG expansion gets out, and they may be driven to sell. If enough people decide to sell, it will also increase supply and depress prices (and should start to happen before the TCG even gets released).
Quintessence wrote:"As a note, just because a Loot Card was common, uncommon, or rare in its original release doesn't mean it shares that rarity in Reign of Fire. Some Loot Cards might be easier to obtain than before; others may be a lot harder to acquire."
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