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Today I finally got it! :D For 3 days I logged in and out on the island every ~20 mins from 6pm to 12pm and never once saw rain. Sometimes for an hour or so I killed monkeys and skinned them. Weekend I logged randomly all day - no rain. 2 days again every ~20 mins and nothing.
Today logged on about 20:15 and behold! 10 mins of rain and no baby apes until they started respawning. There were 6 other people from different servers also hunting for them. My 3rd was rare - yay!! :D